Gates and Ballmer at D: Lament for lost youth

I’m keeping my head down in my book writing, mostly, this year, but I allowed myself one trip to one industry event, so here I am at Walt Mossberg’s and Kara Swisher’s D conference again. New owner (who’ll be here tomorrow); same friendly proprietors.

Things kicked off tonight with a double interview with Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer. After last year’s psychodramatically rich confrontation between Gates and the other Steve in his life, this event was decidedly more tepid. Gates has had one foot out the door of his company for a long time, of course, but as he prepares to depart fully from active duty next month, he might have figured on taking something of a victory lap here.

No such luck. Mossberg, inconveniently, kept bringing up the Vista fiasco. Gates wryly commented, “We have a culture that’s very much about, ‘We need to do it better,’ and Vista’s given us a lot of opportunity for that.”

Ballmer predicted a release of “Windows 7″ — the successor to Vista — by late 2009. (Danger, Will Robinson! Remember the Longhorn slippages! Haven’t they learned?) There was a suggestion that we might get a look at the new Windows 7 interface here; but what was actually on display was some neat tricks involving multitouch interfaces for applications –a la the iPhone’s pinch-and-tap approach to using more than one point of contact on a touch screen to manipulate stuff. (The demo included an onscreen piano keyboard, but nobody actually tried to play a chord, which I’d have thought would be the obvious way to show off multitouch.) All this was neat enough, but not much to go on — and unless Windows 7 fixes a lot of Vista’s problems there will be a dwindling base of users to experience its neat touches.

Ballmer declared, unconvincingly, that he’s not stewing over the collapse of his attempt to acquire Yahoo: “I’m not frustrated at all. They’re great guys, they built a great company. We couldn’t agree on a price.” As he spoke, a blown-up Wall-Street-Journal woodcut portrait of Jerry Yang stared down at him from the wall. (Yang will be here tomorrow.)

Both Gates and Ballmer remained almost pathologically unable to utter the syllables “Google.” Ballmer attempted to explain how he sees Microsoft responding to the Google challenge: “You need scale, and business innovation, and technological innovation. You need breakthrough innovation and incremental innovation. You need it in search and in advertising. You need to bring it all together. And you need it at all levels of the stack.”

Whenever I hear a CEO say, “We need to do it all!” I translate: “We really don’t know what the hell to do here.”

Gates and Ballmer seemed most comfortable, and genuine, in reminiscing about their youth, as Harvard friends and then as partners in building Microsoft from the ground up. Are their best days behind them? They would never admit it, but no matter how brave a face they put on, or how rosily they paint Microsoft’s prospects, I think that on some level even they sense it.

AllThingsD’s John Paczkowski did the live-blogging thing here. No doubt there will be video up soon too.


 

Amanda Congdon’s back — but, er, not first

I have a special place in my heart for video-blogging star Amanda Congdon, since through some total coincidence she ended up briefly plugging my book before it even came out. Thanks, Amanda! So I read with interest in today’s Times about her return to the web after apparently unsuccessful attempts to transition into more traditional broadcast gigs.

Then I read this:

“She was really one of the first, if not the very first, Internet blog stars,” said Dan Goodman, the president of digital media for Media Rights Capital. “She has been entertaining people in the digital space since there were people to entertain there.”

Where to begin? Congdon’s Rocketboom began, I’m pretty sure, around 2004. I do believe there were a fewInternet blog starsalready at that time.

As for the second claim: I think that “digital space” had its share of entertainment even back in the Usenet days. And certainly, even if your definition of “digital space” begins with HTTP, the first ten years of the Web pre-Rocketboom had its share of laffs, too.

I can’t say I’m surprised that some digital entertainment lawyer might be ignorant of this stuff. But, you know, the Times really shouldn’t be printing such silliness.


 

Links for May 18th 2008

Had my head buried deep in writing this past week. Getting some traction, at the expense of other communications.

  • JoshKornbluth.com: My friend the monologuist has a great new website and revamped home for all his disparate activities. Ahh, the things one can do with WordPress these days!
  • Can You Become a Creature of New Habits? – New York Times: Don’t try to rid yourself of bad habits; just overwrite them with new ones. “New habits we deliberately ingrain into ourselves create parallel pathways that can bypass those old roads.” In other words, build the new interstate and the old state highway will fall into disuse!
  • The story of Obama, Written by Obama: New York Times does a full take on Obama’s literary career, gives my extraordinarily talented editor Rachel Klayman her due credit for fishing Obama’s first book out of the dead pile (after reading about Obama in Salon early in 2004!) and ordering a reprint. But what an odd piece otherwise — there’s this critical undercurrent about the money Obama has made from the books (the first real money he’s ever made in his career, and still a fraction of the personal coffers of the Clintons or McCain). On the spectrum of ways that politicians can earn some cash, surely writing books is at the more innocent end. And in this case it’s evident that the guy, you know, actually wrote them himself.


 

McCain’s bearings

Bearings are the calculations a navigator makes to stay on course. “Losing your bearings” means, essentially, losing your compass — going off course.

When Obama last night suggested that McCain was “losing his bearings” in suggesting that Obama was in cahoots with Hamas, the choice of words was provocative, sure. Obama was saying that McCain presents himself as an unconventional high-road politician, but here had instead taken a low potshot. He’d lost his moral compass.

Here are Obama’s words:

“This is offensive, and I think it’s disappointing, because John McCain always says, ‘Well, I’m not going to run that kind of politics.’ And then to engage in that kind of smear, I think, is unfortunate, particularly since my policy toward Hamas has been no different than his,” Obama said.

The Illinois senator added: “For him to toss out comments like that, I think, is an example of him losing his bearings as he pursues this nomination. We don’t need name-calling in this debate.”

But the McCain people’s charge that it was a cheap shot about the candidate’s age suggests that they have, um, further lost their bearings.

Now, if Obama had said “McCain has lost his marbles”? Yeah, that might’ve been a comment about age. And — since “bearings” also has another meaning, for mechanical parts that are similar to, er, marbles — maybe there’s even a little bit of a taunt behind the word choice, an extremely subtle reference to McCain’s reputation for sputtering anger. But that’s not what the McCain people are complaining about.

With one campaign organization on guard against racial digs and the other defensive about age-ism, it’s going to be a fun election season!


 

Links for May 8th 2008

  • The Nature of the Beast (according to Susan McCarthy): I first met McCarthy via the Well, many years ago; later she sublet an office cube at Salon’s offices. She is a writer of deep knowledge and great wit; her specialty is writing about the ways of animals. This is her delightful new blog.
  • Pentagon's Accounting Mess – Portfolio.com: Yet Another Federal Software Quagmire (cf. the IRS, the FBI, the FAA, etc.). An account of the Pentagon’s failure to upgrade its ancient mainframe-era accounting system; the tale unfolds in a building in Indianapolis the size of 28 football fields, and explains why the U.S. military cannot be audited. The Pentagon literally cannot tell you how much it has spent or what it has purchased. If you ran your family this way, they’d disown you.
  • Pursuing the Next Level of Artificial Intelligence – New York Times: Profile of computer scientist and Bayesian expert Daphne Koller:

    “I find it distressing that the view of the field is that you sit in your office by yourself surrounded by old pizza boxes and cans of Coke, hacking away at the bowels of the Windows operating system,” she said. “I spend most of my time thinking about things like how does a cell work or how do we understand images in the world around us?”

  • Esquire Interview with Vint Cerf: “Over a period of a hundred or a thousand years, the probability of maintaining continuity of the software to interpret the old stuff is probably close to zero. Where would you find a projector for an 8mm film these days? …” (Actually, it’s still quite possible to do transfers of 8mm film today. Analog is more forgiving than digital in this way.)


 

What deep pockets say

When the history of this strange and soon-to-be-concluded Democratic primary season is written, let it be noted that the candidate whose income was modest (in political-class terms) until his books became bestsellers was somehow framed as the representative of the elite — while the one who was able to dip into her own personal coffers to fund her campaign to the tune of $6 million succeeded, with a little help from the media, in casting herself as a woman of the people.


 

Rare sighting of Google error message

We have become dependent on Google as a part of our Web infrastructure (too dependent, some say), in part because Google’s reliability record is so superb. All of which makes the receipt of any sort of error message from any dimension of the Googleverse worthy of note.

Today I tried to access my Google Calendar. Instead I saw this:

GoogleCal Error

A minute later, my calendar returned. But for an instant, I got to thinking about life without Google.