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Al-Qaida roads not taken

August 5, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

History never moves as neatly as first reports suggest. After 9/11, conventional wisdom coalesced around the notion that the Clinton administration had botched its response to Osama bin Laden’s terror threat in its 1998 missile attack on bin Laden’s Khost training camp, a response to U.S. embassy bombings in Africa. If only Clinton had done a better job of retaliating then, the thinking was, maybe we wouldn’t have faced the disaster of the al-Qaida attacks.

But a fascinating in-depth report in Time suggests that responsibility for the failure to act against al-Qaida ought to be at least equally shared with — if not mostly borne by — the Bush administration. It seems that the Clinton national security team handed its Bush-named successors detailed plans to dismember al-Qaida in Jan. 2001. But the proposals “became a victim of the transition process, turf wars and time spent on the pet policies of new top officials.” Read and weep. (Joe Conason offers more detailed comment here.)

Meanwhile, Friday’s Wall Street Journal offered a piece about the state of al-Qaida’s relationship with the Taliban through the late ’90s that challenges our view of events from a different direction. The Journal, which last year lucked upon a laptop computer filled with al-Qaida files that it has been mining for stories ever since, reports that, from the time of bin-Laden’s arrival in Afghanistan through 1998, the al-Qaida Arabs and the Taliban Afghans disliked and distrusted each other: bin Laden’s people looked down their noses at the Taliban hicks, and Mullah Omar’s people thought bin Laden was a publicity-hungry grandstander abusing their hospitality. On the eve of the Khost attack, in fact, the Taliban seem to have been preparing to evict bin Laden’s gang. Once the U.S. missiles landed, however, bin Laden became a folk hero — the Islamic leader who’d stood up to the Americans — and the Afghan-Arab alliance was fortified.

Does this mean Clinton goofed by not hitting al-Qaida harder? On one level, sure, that’s obvious. But “hitting harder” without actually killing bin Laden would probably not have made a difference in the long run to 9/11. Unless one of those cruise missiles lobbed at Afghanistan had actually taken bin Laden out — or unless the U.S. had geared up for a much more extensive assault on bin Laden’s entire organization, which in those Monica-mad times would have been viewed as a gigantic “Wag the Dog” exercise — it’s hard to see how anything would have changed.

Filed Under: Politics

A few killers more

August 4, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

In response to this weekend’s suicide bombing in Israel — ostensibly a retaliation for the Israeli army’s missile attack that killed a Hamas leader and nine children, and the latest bloody act in a cycle of violence with no exit in sight — President Bush had this to say: “There are a few killers who want to stop the peace process that we have started, and we must not let them.”

Now, if the problem were “a few killers,” the solution would be simple, and it would be Ariel Sharon’s solution: Peace would be a straightforward matter of, in Bushanese, smoking ’em out and hunting ’em down. But Sharon and the Israeli army have been doing that for months now, and for all their effort, the bombings continue.

Perhaps at one time Israel was at war with a handful of militants, but it seems increasingly plain that what the Israelis now face is a mass movement, radicalized by years of privation, hopelessness, bad leadership and propaganda. Any plan to end the bombings and move towards peace that fails to take this reality into account seems doomed to me.

More valuable than most conventional journalism on this subject, I think, was this weekend’s heartbreaking reporting on the Israeli/Palestinian conflict on NPR’s This American Life (Available soon at the show’s Web site).

Filed Under: Politics

Enron to Bush: fly me

August 4, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

While we are still digesting the unsurprising but still flabbergasting report about the Bush campaign’s use of Enron and Halliburton corporate jets during the Florida recount fracas, Al Gore comes out punching — finally — in a Times op-ed today. Looks like Gore is mad about comments from Joe Lieberman and others that he was wrong to play the populist card in 2000. My only question is what took the once and presumably future candidate so long to enter the fray. Meanwhile, Democratic National Committee spokesman Bill Buck wins the soundbite prize: “The Bush-Cheney administration literally flew into power in Enron’s and Halliburton’s corporate jets.”

Filed Under: Politics

Party of the pocketbook

August 2, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

As the latest Bush recession heads into its second dip, it’s washing away one of the oldest truisms in American politics.

When I was growing up in the ’60s and ’70s, conventional wisdom about our political parties was clear: Democrats stuck up for working people and minorities, but you couldn’t trust them with your money. For that, you wanted a Republican. This reached a head in the late ’70s, as Jimmy Carter faced runaway inflation, oil shocks and unemployment, and couldn’t seem to make headway against them. Reagan’s election brought a recession, a tax cut and a deepening federal deficit — but one way or another he got credit in the national mythology for dispelling the Carter malaise and putting the economy right.

Since Reagan, though, a new pattern has emerged, not just in the reality of the economy’s numbers but in the shorthand of the popular mind. Bush I: Recession. Clinton: Economic growth. Bush II: Recession.

Circumstance and luck play a huge part in all this, to be sure. But patterns like these are what build popular myths. If Bush doesn’t begin improving the fumbling performance of his economic team, or break free of his “tax cut or die” ideology, he could inherit a cruel variation on James Carville’s mantra from the 1992 election — as “It’s the economy, stupid” gets transformed in the popular mind to “It’s stupid’s economy.”

Filed Under: Business, Politics

Jenkins’ ear

July 31, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

I love reading Holman W. Jenkins Jr.’s Wall Street Journal column for its insights into how business leaders think. Not for Jenkins is the conciliatory, “let’s look at things from the other side’s point of view” approach of his colleague Al Hunt, the Journal’s token near-liberal. Jenkins provides the unvarnished master-of-the-universe capitalist perspective — you can practically hear the squeak of the armchair leather, the chomp of the cigar. This, say his columns, is the way the world works. (Interestingly, Jenkins’ bio suggests he has spent his entire career in journalism and has no business experience.)

Today Jenkins reviews the business careers of our president and vice president and exonerates them of any wrongdoing. So what if Bush benefited from some sweetheart transactions? So what if Cheney sold Halliburton high before asbestos laid it low? They’re businessmen, dammit — this is what they do!

Look, you government-handout-seeking lefties: “Mr. Cheney was hired to open doors… Not to belabor the obvious, but a big part of Mr. Bush’s value to partners and investors was his political visibility too.” What are you, an idiot? Of course businesses hire politicians because of who they know!

Such honesty is disarming. Strangely, though, in Jenkins’ analysis, the moment Bush and Cheney got elected, everything changed: “Only a moron suspects Mr. Bush or Mr. Cheney went to the trouble to become president and vice president to throw bones to business cronies.”

In other words, when out of office, Bush and Cheney got paid the big bucks to win friends and influence people, because they were so well-connected; but once they took office, they suddenly cast off all ties to their “cronies” and were transformed into even-handed public citizens.

Permit me to be moronic, then, for a moment: Maybe Bush and Cheney did not become president and vice president solely to “throw bones to cronies”; maybe they got elected with the help of those cronies’ cash and intend to repay the help with far more than bones. Maybe the “you wash my hands, I’ll wash yours” deals that made Bush his fortune as a private citizen bear a striking resemblance to the “you wash our hands, we’ll wash yours” relationship his administration has maintained with its friends in business. Maybe it’s the way the world works that’s moronic.

Filed Under: Business, Politics

Olbermann vs. Coulter

July 31, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

Our media class has a hard time focusing on more than one subject at a time. Keith Olbermann’s latest column suggests that the media’s (and political elite’s) mad quest to convict Bill Clinton of adultery helped push more important topics — like our vulnerability to terrorist attack — off the national agenda. It’s a great piece: “Ann Coulter didn’t cause Sept. 11… But with hindsight one has to ask why the prospect of a country unprepared for terrorism wasn’t a sexy enough topic for her and the others to use to pound Clinton and the Democrats.” Remember, during Monicamania, any time the Clinton administration decided to do anything in the international sphere — like firing missiles at bin Laden’s Afghanistan training camp — it was accused of pulling a “Wag the Dog” stunt to divert the national dialogue from the more pressing matter of the presidential genitalia.

Filed Under: Media, Politics

Superfund follies

July 29, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

Damien Cave’s Salon cover story today is a must-read. “Companies like Atlas Tack, and its parent company, Great Northern Industries, are the happy beneficiaries of the Bush administration’s new Superfund policy. By refusing to clean up the sites and then collect costs from the responsible parties, Bush and the EPA have essentially given the nation’s biggest corporate polluters a multimillion-dollar reprieve — at a huge personal cost to less influential citizens.”

Filed Under: Politics, Salon

Leave no bozo behind!

July 25, 2002 by Scott Rosenberg

President Bush is a kinder, gentler Republican, it turns out. He’s kind and gentle to those who work for him. He may have cast himself as the first CEO-style president, but he doesn’t seem to have the stomach to fire anyone.

Paul O’Neill’s failure as treasury secretary to establish stature or rapport with the financial world would probably have earned him the boot in any previous administration you might pick. But O’Neill shows no sign of going anywhere.

Army secretary Thomas White is a former Enron official who either (A) knew what was happening at that company and therefore shares responsibility in its ignominy or (B) was completely in the dark about Enron’s escapades. A he’s a crook, B he’s a boob (of the “Sgt. Schultz defense” species); either way he has no business in a critical military post at a time when we are nominally at war. But President Bush stands by his Enron man.

Then there’s SEC chief Harvey Pitt, who — in an act of jaw-dropping flat-footedness — decided to push for his own promotion to cabinet-level status at the very moment when much of the rest of the country is trying to figure out why he has not yet resigned. Bush still thinks Pitt, who took office by promising to make the SEC a “kinder, gentler” regulator of his friends in the accounting industry, is the right man for the job.

What do you have to do to get fired from this administration, anyway? Get arrested for drunk driving?

Filed Under: Politics

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